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August 30, 2008

R U A Person?

Tribes are not. The language of the Victims Rights Act is clear:

‘‘(e) DEFINITIONS.—For the purposes of this chapter, the term ‘crime victim’ means a person directly and proximately harmed as a result of the commission of a Federal offense."
Thus, the Saginaw Chippewa Tribe and the Louisiana Coushatta Tribe, victims to the tune of half a mill and eleven mill, respectively, have to get permission to testify at Jack's sentencing hearing. Here's the notice letter to U.S. District Judge Ellen Segal Huvelle link


The Tilt of your Cap

Someone suggested that I "really ought to read the whole FCC thing. everybody else is sorta pulling out the parts that they want to highlight. but the story in the full FCC order is astounding."

The thing is here.

And Comcast just announced a monthly b/w cap. Of course, if you don't like it, in a free market, you can always switch cable providers, neh?

Harriet Meyers was the first choice

Harriet Miers wrote this:

In addition to my practice of law, my experience includes running and holding public office, As an at-large city councilmember, I dealt with city issues from supporting the police and firemen to paving issues.
And John Glover Roberts, Jr. is Chief Justice of the United States Supreme Court.

As entertaining as Governor Palin is, she's not the nominee, yet, and anything could happen.

August 29, 2008

Lessons Learned

One lesson is that to enter a FEMA managed disaster area for the purposes of assisting the survivors, say, doing a wireless buildout, initially just a VSAT and a wireless cloud the size of the administrative area of a relief area, between the kitchen and the fuel area, and developing into a complete parallel (to the wrecked towers / flooded conduits wireline) regional infrastructure, is that the application must be made 30 days prior.

Our FEMA chit, applied for August 31st, granted September 23rd, and received September 27th, is the thumbnail.

Today is Saint John's birthday. I recall when he and W split a tart. Katrina was making landfall on NOLA.

Goodbye Dublin!

Senators Obama and Biden will be in Dublin tomorrow, a town we've spent the past six weeks, MB doing work for a DCCC targeted Congessional in a district that, due to creative gerrymandering, includes neither the predominantly minority districts of urban Columbus, nor the predominantly better-off suburb of Dublin. One of our favorite songs is Alanis Morrissette's "Isn't it ironic?", and when we learned that there is a powow, here of all places, this weekend, starting the day after we leave Dublin and Columbus, that's what we said to each other. Yesterday's routing announcement for the nominees was just ... more ironic.

We could still lose this thing. Dave Axelrod's sororcidal choice to exploit misogyny and fratricidal choice to exploit race, and Dave Plouffe's choice to exploit the caucuses in Iowa, Nevada, and Texas, not the candidates qualifications and their policy records and promises, have won the nomination and could still keep the Executive Branch in the hands of the Republican Party leadership.

Ohio can be won, it can also be lost. It's competitive, like Pennsylvania, between urban and rural poles, but not by message and candidates alone. It would be prudent, with 66 days left, to set up alternative field campaign plans for the Congressional districts that are competitive, and there are several, that the DNC must win to get, as we say in Maine, "balance of state".

While MB worked on getting the trailer packed I took the kids to Wendy's for a celebratory lunch, as Dublin is where Wendy's started, and where the company's HQ remains to this day.

We also returned our books to the Dublin Public Library, which interestingly enough (well, positively infuriatingly) has a service model for data network access that (a) authentication with a library card is required, presumably because a user might take out some network access and not return it, and the homeless and travelers don't need network access, and (b) network access means web -- not telnet/rlogin/ssh, not pop/imap, not ftp, not ... Recall, this is paid for in part, this discriminatory set of policies, economically discriminatory, and service discriminatory, by E-Rate money, by Federal money. If you want to know what "tiered network service" will look like if the residential loop broadband operators control Congress, just visit a public library. The film is already playing.

As a technical exercise, a "bakeoff for teh tech political bloggers", try taking two laptops, setting them next to each other, pick up a dhcp provisioned addresses for each via the public library wifi, and transfer data from one to the other. Do not use a third node, in Maine or anywhere "outside" the local cloud, http, a dongle, or a wire the length and breadth of a shoestring.

Did I mention that bandwidth is capped at about 60kB/s, inside a cloud that should support 100Mb/s?

As a policy exercise, justify the results.

In "Clues for Call-Time" for the campaign MB helped, so far as three not very skilled guys suffering from advanced misogyny and booze can be helped, I wrote (for the candidate)

...
We do know that Dublin dumped money into fiber and that data-driven tech is more present in Dublin than anywhere else in the OH-15/OH-12 /OH-07. In a nutshell, Dublin will be richer than its surroundings forever because of some exotic glass and a backhoe. Public intervention does work, we just need to pick what we want. Dublin wanted Dublin, the United States may want to fiber-up Appalachia, and the Navajo Nation.
...

Now I'd add, "Having made the strategic investment in bandwidth, municipally provisioned dark fiber, the wealthy in Dublin have chosen the service model of the monopoly wireline and monopoly spectrum access models. Communication is limited to business and entertainment, to transactions involving cash extraction. We face that danger in every municipal, in every regional and state, and in every national network build-out -- theft of the public resource. The first Internet, which we paid for, was captured by the telephone and cable companies, and they haven't done much more than fill it with Viagra spam and milk it to death. We have a second chance, and Dublin shows us a dead end."

August 28, 2008

Tom Allen in Denver

2:09. We're going to try and spot the Mainers later today. We're in a spot with less bandwidth than ... India after the triple cable snag last winter.

August 27, 2008

The Airspace Data Interchange Network Outage

The Airspace Data Interchange Network Outage made the WaPo today. When Chellie Pingree last ran for the Senate, six years ago, hot on the heels of 9-11 and all the social capital the incumbent party held, because in times of war, partisanship stops at the water's edge, unless of course the incumbent is off chasing moonbats, as we had just a few months after that election, I wrote material. How to run on defense, against an incumbent on Homeland Security, how to run against the "thin eggshell", known to its promoters as "forward defense". Spend on deep defense, stuff like redundant capacity, cause, infrastructure here is better than armor there, shit happens, and armor isn't going to stop Atta gang copy-cat operations.

It wasn't OBL, and it wasn't "dark skies", but yesterday was one failure away from "its raining airplanes", and that's where sending trillions of dollars to West Asia shows up, along with things like Interstate Bridges falling into rivers, and other "deferred spending".

If Dave Axelrod gang has sense, they'll get failing air traffic management, and Ronald Reagan's mass firing of all Federal ATC workers worked into the speech, so that all those fight-capable demographic bottoms in all those TSA-managed-queues and price-hiked luggage-and-meals-now-charged-seats will have something to think about. Like landing.

August 26, 2008

Dmitry Medvedev @ the FT

Why I had to recognise Georgia’s breakaway regions

Can you imagine what it was like for the Abkhaz people to have their university in Sukhumi closed down by the Tbilisi government on the grounds that they allegedly had no proper language or history or culture and so did not need a university?
Well, yes, just about any Indian can.

The piece concludes: The writer is president of the Russian Federation.

HRC @ DNC

That was a well written speach. The delivery was wicked good too. Orange, and Seneca Falls, is the new Black.

It is a pity that Marc Penn got shotgun on that ride. She got better the further away she got from him.

Life in Comments in LoC France

The piece that rue89 ran on the convention has comments. Lots of them. The meme that anyone who is less than chock full o'koolaid is a racist looks to have 100% of the mindshare "over there".

Its the Francophone equivalent to Freedom Fries, and they are trying to work themselves past the awkward bits of having a pretty face take over the SP, and then lose to Sarko.

Watching Sarko do the "honor the fallen" thing with the sound turned off was disturbing. He's grinning while talking about 10 guys getting toe tags and another 21 picking up entry and exit wounds, which seems deranged, almost Bushian.

Airspace Data Interchange Network Outage

An outage has occurred at FAA facility in Hampton, Ga. This facility processes flight plans.

Update #1
ATLANTA -- The Federal Aviation Administration said a communication failure Tuesday at a Georgia facility that processes flight plans for the eastern half of the U.S. was causing flight delays around the country.

An FAA Web site that posts airport status information showed delays at some three dozen major airports coast-to-coast, advising passengers to "check your departure airport to see if your flight may be affected."


FAA spokeswoman Kathleen Bergen in Atlanta said there are no safety issues and officials are still able to speak to pilots on planes on the ground and in the air.

She said she doesn't know how many flights are being affected.

Bergen said the problem that occurred Tuesday afternoon involves an FAA facility in Hampton, Ga., south of Atlanta, that processes flight plans. She said there was a failure in a communication link that transmits the data to a similar facility in Salt Lake City.


As a result, the Salt Lake City facility was having to process those flight plans, causing delays in planes taking off. She said there were no problems with planes landing.

"There will be flight delays," Bergen said. "It could be any location because one facility is now processing flight data for everybody."

A spokesman for Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, the world's busiest airport, did not immediately return a call seeking comment on the impact there. Bergen said officials at the Atlanta airport were entering flight data manually to try to speed things up.

The communication failure was causing delays for departures and arrivals at Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport, according to airport spokeswoman Cheryl Stewart. However, she did not have a number on delays.

The FAA has asked that no new flight plans be filed, Stewart said. If an airline has not filed a flight plan yet, that flight can't leave. However, some flights had already filed their plans and those planes were being allowed to depart, Stewart said.


Brenda Geoghagan, a spokeswoman for Tampa International Airport in Florida, said "it may just be too soon" to determine the impact there. Christine Osborn, another spokeswoman at the Tampa airport, said there have been no delays due to the flight plan communication failure. But she said she anticipates problems in the coming hours.

"There's definitely going to be some impact," she said.

At Miami International Airport, there were no delays or cancelations due to the communication failure, said spokesman Marc Henderson.

"There are cancelations due to weather from the hurricane, but not due to this," he said.

The National Airspace Data Interchange Network is a data communications system for air traffic controllers. It's used to distribute flight plans and allows controllers to know when planes are leaving, where they're going and other details.

Allen Kenitzer, a western regional spokesman for the FAA, said the Utah system could handle the extra load while workers tried to get the Atlanta system back online, but it was expected to slow down air traffic.

"We're not going to let an unsafe condition exist. It's just going to be slower," Kenitzer said.

More non-competence

06_pipes.jpg

That's a view of the DNC's tech. Obviously, no one who's ever previously done a build-out was involved. Wired's photo guy apparently didn't guess his photo would take only hours to land in the operator's rogue gallery of spaghetti westerns.

I'm looking forward to more pasta when the RNC techies step up to the plate.

The Week After

Here's a puzzle: On August 7th Asif Zardari (PPP) and Nawaz Sharif (PML-N) signed a 7 page agreement drafted by themselves and the others members of their teams one week ago. The agreement has two clauses of interest today, the clauses which have not been implemented by the signers.

First, the clause that that the deposed judges would be reinstated within 24 hours after the impeachment or resignation of Gen (retd) Musharraf.

Second, the clause that that "in case the office of the president still retains the powers acquired under the 17th Amendment, a nationally respected, non-partisan and pro-democracy figure acceptable to the coalition partners will be put forward as the presidential candidate. In case the 17th Amendment is repealed and the powers of the president are restricted to the original powers as envisaged in 1973 Constitution, the PPP will have the right to put forward its own candidate."

The rationale for the non-implementation of the first of these two by Federal Information Minister Sherry Rehman, of Mr. Zardari's party, is that "our other internal and external allies wanted us to take our own route after the resignation of President Musharraf."

The PPP hasn't moved the 17th Amendment question in the legislature, where it leads the four-party ruling coalition.

Mr. Zardari has filed papers as the PPP's candidate for the Sept 6 presidential election.

Mr. Shaif announced the PML-N willl file papers for former chief justice Saeeduz Zaman Siddiqui is its candidate for the Sept 6 presidential election.

So if Mr. Zardari's spokesperson's statements are to be taken at face value, which of Chief of Army Staff Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani (internal ally) or the United States, the United Kingdom, and Saudi Arabia (external allies), is opposed in principle to the restoration of Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry and the political independence of the Pakistani judiciary?

Restated, which prefers a Pakistan returned to horrific political enmities of the late 1980s and early 1990s, a divided and weakened civil government? And why does Prince Muqrin bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud want to keep the former dictator from being charged with crimes? Since the 1999 coup d'état not a few people have come to violent ends at the hands of the state, e.g., veteran Baloch nationalist leader and former Chief Minister of Balochistan, Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti, who was killed, along with his grandson, Nawabzada Baramdagh Bugti, an as-yet unnamed second grandson, Mir Azaad Khan Baloch, General Secretary, Government of Balochistan in Exile, and 34 other persons, on August 26th, 2006, in a military operation in Chalgri area of Bhamboor hills of Dera Bugti district. And there's more.

August 25, 2008

Tom Allen addresses the Democratic National Convention, Wednesday, 7pm EDT

I plan to watch. It will be my last night in Columbus, Ohio, which, barring non-statistical likelihoods, some magic message miracle, will be captured by the GOP. Its no big deal, the CDs are gerrymandered and after the 2010 census, Columbus will be un-gerrymandered, so its just two terms when the Democratic Congressional Caucus has the votes, and then a banal liberal Republican banking lobbyist goes back to being a banking lobbyist. But the Ohio electoral votes, barring non-statistical likelihoods, some magic message miracle, will be captured by the GOP.

Tom I care about. He'll be better, for Maine, and for the Republic, than Susan.

The View from LoC France and the elections ain't for stealing 51% of the party

20080825HIllaryillus2.jpg

Rue89.fr has the best piece I've seen this cycle on the primary. Its wicked late of course, and had less fawning coverage been in the European press I wouldn't have had those awkward moments over coffee with my co-workers, on why (a) it only counts if you're (i) Floridian, (ii) Pennsylvanian, or (iii) Ohioian and maybe (iv) Michiganian, (b) Senator Obama isn't competitive in three of those races and he has to win two, or pick up Mexico or Canada, (c) Senator Clinton is better than Marc Penn, she fired him, and Senator Obama is not known to be better than David Axelrod, he's now running the national campaign, (d) its not about race alone, its also about misogyny, the worst in American public life since 1912, and (e) we're neutral, neither ran on progressive issues.

I guess I'm not looking forward to explaining the convention when I'm next in Geneva.

The women in the photo are Nancy Kivlen, who volunteered for 19 months for the HRC campaign, and Bonnie Tierney, who describes herself (in the french translation) as "démocrate pure èt dure". Its really a smart piece, it covers Elizabeth Fiechter, links to PUMA, and last night's showing of The Audacity of Democracy, with the highlights of the Dave Axelrod's execution of that campaign's plan in the Texas primary and caucus.

The Wall Street Journal polled HRC voters and 21% indicate they will not be voting the top of the ticket, or will vote for the other party, and 27% are undecided whether to vote for the top of the ticket, and if so, for which party's candidates. As usual with polls, unless specific to the FL/PA/OH/MI voters, it counts for little but column inches.

Here's The Audacity of Democracy, "a ten minute teaser containing footage from PUMA PAC and Brad Mays' new political documentary, still being shot around America. At this juncture, the focus is on malfeasance during the Texas primary. It should be pointed out that we're still loading all the footage we've shot up to now into the editing system, and that production will continue through the election and possibly beyond. So what we intend to do is change this teaser on a weekly basis."






Here's Gigi Stanton's We will not be Silenced. This documentary is about the disenfranchising of American citizens by the Democratic Party and the Obama Campaign, in five parts.

Part 1:


Part 2:



Part 3:



Part 4:


Part 5:



Tomorrow's News Today

madonna_narrowweb__300x514,0.jpgApparently Avedon, or the other 5 registered Democrats living in the UK, or at least taking in a show at Cardiff, and for whom brassieres are fashion accessories, was (or were) the target(s) of a "scandalous, inacceptable and divisive message" from the global glitterati, who will stop at nothing to advance ... their shows.

Shades of Murphy Brown.

August 24, 2008

Brilliant. Expect. More.

What's Axelrod going to do, retaliate with Huckabee material and make Saint John look less scary? The media buy is in the Denver market.

24 August 394 CE

The last known hieroglyph was inscribed at Philae, at the Pearl of Egypt, the Temple of Isis, three years after Emperor Theodosius, a Christian, ordered all pagan temples closed. In 391 he ordered the eternal fire in the Temple of Vesta in the Roman Forum extinguished and the Altar of Victory removed from the Senate. He also ordered the end of the Games at Olympus in 393.

Things learned in preparation for the Cairo ICANN meeting.

Who is non-partisan?

The issues that have to be resolved within hours are reinstatement of the deposed judges, the 17th Amendment, which "constitutionalized" the 2002 Legal Framework Order of General Pervez Musharraf, and Article 58-2(b) which empowers the president to dissolve the National Assembly.

If the controversial amendment stays, a non-partisan person enjoying respect and confidence of all the four coalition partners will be elected to the office of the president
That was Mr Sharif, head of the PML-N.

One possibility is General (ret.) Jahangir Karamat, who's name was floated the day General (ret.) Musharraf left President House. Another is deposed Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry. The Gallup polling data gives him an approval rating of 85%.

There's a real issue too that's not getting press attention in the US media markets, accountability. What are the consequences of letting a dictator go quietly into retirement? What did the ambassadors from London, Washington and Riyad do to the rule of law in Pakistan when they extracted concessions from the ruling coalition, which was, for the first time in Pakistan's history, peacefully, constitutionally, ending a period of dictatorship?

August 23, 2008

DOMA Conflicts Case coming up

large_gaycouple.jpg

Kitzen Branting, a citizen of the Coquille Tribe, requested the government recognize her pending marriage to Jeni Branting, a non-citizen. The government agreed, and while Jeni Branting isn’t a citizen now, and therefore doesn’t have access to the health care programs and other opportunities afforded to citizens, when married she will be a Coquille citizen.

There's a very nice write up at Oregon Live.

Bidding, not Biden

When Kurt Prinz briefed the GNSO Council (and observers) in Los Angeles April 10th and 11th, the new gTLD process model flows transition through an "auction" state in two of the three paths where two or more applications existed for the same (or similar) strings. At that time Kurt, speaking for Staff, was clear that the existence of a well-defined community was not dispositive, which surprised the Council members from the Intellectual Property Constituency present who recalled coming to the opposite position at San Juan. For Staff, a well-defined community was "a pebble" to weigh in some balance, where the name-squatting speculative bidder's claims to make "better use" might prevail. The weights of pebbles and the market-cap of the "better use" claimants were not defined.

Kurt's pebble makes a cameo in The Economic Case for Auctions, as a 25% bidding credit ... offered to community-based bidders whose community is located primarily in least-developed countries, so it seems safe to assume that Chrysler LLC will simply have to offer 1.25 times the money to ICANN as a consortium which includes the governments or institutions of the Cherokee Nation of Oklahoma, the United Keetoowah Band of Cherokee Indians, and the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians. Of course, the ICANN lobbyists for Chrysler LLC may ask for, and may obtain, a ruling on the question of whether "Indian Country" is "located primarily in least-developed countries", and as horked as the economy is in the nine districts of the CNO/UKB and the Qualla Boundary, they could be described as "inside" the United States, which could cut Chrysler LLC's overbid by a quarter.

Obviously, as the author of the original sTLD proposal in Working Group C, for a TLD operated by and for Indians, and as the coordinator of the Indigenous Intellectual Property Constituency, one of the three original IPC constituency proposals, that's a bean of no small size wegdged way up my nose.

But that's not all, as the narrator of the Ginzu knives promotion promises, there's more. Much more.

The Executive Summary informs us that scarce resources are efficiently allocated through auctions, a claim articulated in full at page 2, para 6, through the end of page 4, while three paragraphs above the anonymous author notes that that TLDs are not a scarce resource. This may reflect a division between the anonymous authors, or a brief moment of sobriety by a single, conflicted author. There are as many potential new gTLD bid strings as there are stars on a clear night in Marina del Rey. What is (relatively) scarce is the number of bid-capable efforts, which presently numbers in the low hundreds, and the whole point of the exercise is to intelligently deal with the subset of those bidders who chose well-known strings and chose not to encumber their application, or more importantly, the legal entity with whom ICANN might contract, with a well-defined community.

The anonymous author(s) claim that value is defined by the presence, or absence, of bids. However, the W3C may offer a community identified proposal, a dispositive bid for $0 for the most sought after of all potential candidate strings ".WEB", preventing any bids, to remove ".WEB" from ICANN's GNSO policy area. The MicroSoft Corporation may offer $1 more than any bid (open assending assumed) or a year's marketing budget (sealed bid assumed), for the same ends. The real value here is defined by the capture of the rights of others or theft of some linguistic commons, and as a corollary, value is defined by replication of the unpolicied, unsponsored, .com business model. ICANN is not handing out random string sausages to queued up Soviet housewives eager to go home and get on with cooking up something filling with cabbages, it is letting Verisign and other high-cap speculators grab at a very small cloud of marques and generics, and bid price is claimed to be a sufficient surrogate for all forms of merit, all purposes, and all policies.

Worse, Microsoft could put in an application for .ETOAIN-SHRDLU or .SHAZAM, again, a bid price of $0, and bundle "free" domain names into its products and send the entire ICANN market, Verisign's .COM franchise included, the way of the Linotype. The anonymous author(s) have completely missed the real contours of both the real ICANN market, and the real value(s) present in this market.

The three particular claims made that form the second paragraph of the Executive Summary contain assumptions that should be identified.

The first claim assumes that unit price times volume corresponds to value.

This violates the consensus of Working Group C, which established the parity of unrestricted and restricted applicants in the 2000 round. I know, I drafted the restricted text that Jonathan Weinberg worked into the working group's Oct. 23, 1999 interim report.

The second claim assumes that marginal cost corresponds to value.

This violates the consensus of Working Group A, which established the parity of prior claims and any other allocation mechanism, and which cannot sensibly be reduced, in an intellectual property regime encompassing hundreds of jurisdictions, to simple estimates of marginal cost. I know that too, because members of Working Groups A and C exchanged notes during the pendency of our respective working groups.

This too violates the consensus of Working Group C, which established the parity of policy other than the de minimus "first come, first served", assumption of the credit card industry risk, and negligence policy that defines the "unrestricted" policy model. I know that too, because, well, see above.

The third claim restates the first claim, with the odd twist that a "scarce resource" declines in value if reserved, whether by a "speculator" or a responsible intellectual property custodian, or ICANN. Is anyone certain, certain enough to commit ICANN's and scores of registries', registrars', and other applicants' resources, eight-figures sure, that the value of .WEB is less today that it was in 2000? That the value of .SPORT is greatest before the IOC, the professional sports associations, the broadcasters and the advertisers appreciate it, now, and not ten years from now?

The remainder of the Executive Summary (paragraphs 3 and 4) are irrelevant, other than making the mildly amusing case, years late, by a bystander, that the .ORG and .NET redelegation "technical evaluations" were utter rubbish, and that in retrospect, Paul Vixie's and Carl Malmud's groups, or SWITCH, and not Hal Lubson's and Philipp Grabensee's groups, that should be operating .ORG, or that CORE and not VGRS, should be operating .NET. The author doesn't actually say that, of course, that could cause Sudden Consultant Termination Syndrome, but if ICANN can't do comparative evaluations in the future, and will be hopelessly gamed, it was hopelessly gamed and couldn't do them in the past either.

The notion that ICANN, that the ICANN stakeholders, have no interest in the policies or practices of an applicant to operate a gTLD registry, other than the applicants ability to pay -- we don't need no stinkin' rules, we've got cash -- is illuminating as an evaluation of ICANN as an institution.

If there is a place in the ICANN problem's allocation arena where the resources are scarce, and the policy of the bidders, as a class, of utter disinterest, other than their ability to pay, it is the allocation of single-character domains in COM, NET, and ORG. And neither Overstock, nor Oprah, propose to operate a gTLD registry, just an SLD of no particular import.

And Jerry Lewis

Le Monde has this -- Biden, choix par défaut pour les blogueurs démocrates.

Maybe for the A-listers.

WE WILL NOT BE SILENCED - DOCUMENTARY PREVIEW

I don't think this could have happened in Maine, but without a doubt it did happen in Texas, and it happened in Iowa, and it happened in Nevada. Its 30 minutes long, you can pause it while making toast for the kids.

wewillnotbesilenced2008.com

There are two audiences for this work -- those who want to understand how the contest was stolen from them, an ashamed audience, and those who want to understand how the contest was stolen by them, an accomplished audience.

IRAQIA est omnis divisa in partes tres ...

There was the Biden Plan, circus August, 2006 (or 1914).

He voted against the Kerry Ammendment.

He voted for the 33 Day war too. What a gift.



Now that is funny on so many levels -- the Daily Show on par with the Debates, following the dumb competitive sound-bite with the dumber determined look, the comedic conflict between not-ready/ready, and the actual use of comedy to disclose truth. I'm so looking forward to the next one, with Joe's white-on-black race jokes.

This won't be good in Maine. Every message for Tom Allen wrapped around the truth that Susan Collins' votes enabled many bad things, from the war to predatory lending to banking failure to high winter fuel oil prices will now either fail, causing Tom's campaign to fail to persuade the unenrolled, or include the top of the ticket as enablers of many bad things, mostly the same bad things, but somehow "better" for being done by the Democrat from MBNA.

Dukakis and Bentsen, in re-runs. At least now the three electoral votes in Delaware are safe.

August 22, 2008

Waiting in the darkness

NorthAmericaBlacksmall.png

Of course, what tomorrow brings could just be four more years of foolish men, profit taking and war.

Obama's media buys

According to Fox the buy has been pulled in North Carolina, Florida and Virginia.

Virginia was "competitive" in the last Obama campaign plan of (public) record.

Florida was "blue" when the polling data had Senators Clinton and McCain as the choices.

And North Carolina was "tending pink".

A normal rotation goes otherwise

An acquaintance who's a Russian language asset in one of the services was scheduled to rotate with is family to someplace cold and proximal to Russia. His orders just got recut. Now. Without family. And not simply someplace cold and proximal to Russia, but someplace with those characteristics and very heavily armed.

Shostakovitch’s Symphony No 7

The Maryinsky Orchestra from St Petersburg was in Tskhinvali yesterday, with conductor Valery Gergiev, an Ossetian, and performed the Lenningrad, followed by Tchaikovsky’s Symphony Pathétique where 70% of the structures were destroyed or significantly damaged, gas, electricity and water were cut off fourteen days ago. I'm looking for picture of Tskhinvali after the war, and they're pretty hard to find.

Revised numbers: The South Ossetian numbers are 1,450 killed. Russian prosecutors announced that the bodies of 133 civilians had been found in South Ossetia, but they haven't done all the makeshift mass graves. Georgia's numbers are 215. The number of refugees is around 35,000.

Scanning through the US media coverage -- LATimes "Russian pomp and dominance", WAPO "An Orchestrated Russian Tour", Minneapolis Star Trib "Concert in Ossetia a PR masterpiece" ... it looks as if the headline copy is patriotically coordinated. I'm not up to reading variations of the same color copy wrapping the mandatory regime message.

Leonard Bernstein conducted Beethoven’s 9th at the Berlin Wall. Simon Rattle conducted the 9th at Mauthausen concentration camp, when neo-Nazi's entered the Austrian government. Daniel Barenboim conducted in Ramallah, and with Edward Said, founded a Palestinian-Israeli orchestra. Mstislav Rostropovich rushed to Moscow in 1991 to join Boris Yeltsin in the besieged White House during the August Coup. Except for Barenboim/Said in the Occupied West Bank, they all got better press.

Gergiev was, up until yesterday, principal guest conductor of New York's Metropolitan Opera. His contract with the Met may not contain a "meaningful free speech" protection clause, so that may be sudden history. He's been conducting Sergi Prokofiev, Dimitri Shostakovich, Gustav Mahler, and living composers Henri Dutilleux, Thomas Ades and Rodion Shchedrin. I don't share his love for Prokofiev (I hear recycled work from the Classical to Kiji, though I love his Romeo and Julliet, which I was fortunate enough to have heard during the first American production of the ballet by the Joffrey Ballet of Chicago and the San Francisco Orchestra), but I appreciate Shostakovich, Mahler, and anyone who gives living composers of orchestral music a passing thought.

August 21, 2008

Beyond partisanship

I'm missing the grand opening of the Obama North Columbus field office. For six weeks I've been trying to put 30 free phones, a PRI (23) and a fraction, plus a pizza box running linux and asterix as the PBX, and analog handsets with either four-pair to a punch-down block, or 15 pairs of analog-to-SIP adaptors, or the equivalent from a VoIP wholesaler, with the analog-to-SIP pairs, plus hardware echo cancellation, on a TimeWarner drop, for a four month lease, into that rental. Not for the Obama Campaign, but for a Congressional that drank the coordinated campaign koolaid. Now I simply don't care if they have phones, or what the per-seat cost or call-density they managed to get, or if they finally figured out how to buy cell phones.

My fee? $0.00.

Six weeks lost, 36 days lost, at 1.5k dials/day. That's 54,000 calls not made. That's the total vote for the winner in the CA-17 in '06, and those Democratic and Independent voters don't even have ODP or Campaign-Name on their calls missed, let alone an enaged voice speaking from their 20,000 answering machines. It doesn't look better at 2k dials/day, thats 72,000 contacts missed. And that's just for one CD with all of the DCCC's money to spend, but none of the sense many, many better races invent from native wit and pluck.

Six hours with nothing but their sidearms (update)

The DoD claim is that Le Monde's interviews with the survivors is factually incorrect. Inspite of IASF and OpFors being sufficiently close that reloading could be heard, according to the DoD, no air delivered ordinance fell sufficiently close to Afghan, or French troops to have cause casualties to the former, only to the targeted OpFors.

And π is an integer.

Getting Evan

It was July of 2005. We were at Sleeping Bear Dunes National Seashore. We'd not yet formed DraftGore2008 PAC, or started the $5 ask, the Maine test for breadth of a candidate's support, Senator Clinton and also Senators Edwards and Kerry, even Senator Lieberman, were the probables, and Senator Obama was just another pretty face a year after his convention cameo. Car camping in the same loop was a family who's vehicle had a bumper sticker that read "Bayh for President".

How weird. To have missed from before the beginning the real meaning of the Obama Movement.

August 20, 2008

Stephanie Tubbs Jones

stephanie-tubbs-jones.jpg

She voted against George "W" Bush. She voted against Chad "Cornsilk" Smith. There are not many who have actually done so.

Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

Two out of three of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania determines everything. At least that's what we've been saying here. The Obama campaign's electoral college narrative is Colorado and π is an integer.

The current Public Policy Polling (Dem) numbers are 45/45, with Obama -3 from July and McCain +5. The July Quinnipiac (Ind) had Obama 2 points over McCain. The June Quinnipiac had Obama 6 points over McCain. Rasmussen (Ind) gave McCain a 8 point lead (10 points with leaners) last month, after showing the race tied in June.

Tomorrow the Obama Campaign will open its North Columbus field office, a little bit more than a month late. This is the office that does the north half of the city, and they simply have to over-perform, here at the top of the teens-and-twenties tree and its feeders, to overcome the balance of state. That's a month late on filling the phone banks doing dial canvas, a month late on attacking the change of residence re-registration numbers, a month late on new voter reg, a month late on the two-week window to register 100% of the OSU zip code that has, as usual, been 100% purged, a month late on staffing the field op billets and attacking the constituencies and localities, a month late on cleaning the existing VAN data and adding new data to the VAN, a month late on the famous "new model" houseparties, and a month late on events planning, that is, on free media.

The DNC is supplementing, attempting to fill the gap, contracting with Grassroots Campaigns (GCI), basically the sweat-shop of the tawdry left, to do door-to-door fundraising, an easy match to the GC business model -- a PIRG-like cult of overworked, underpaid drones -- and voter registration and voter ID. They don't coordinate with the down-ticket races, so they don't do voter ID for congressional Dems, or Ohio Senate and House Dems, or the ODP, just Obama, but not "officially".

They're using volunteers for canvas, Obama volunteers, so the quality of the voter ID data for the down-ticket races, for congressional Dems, the Ohio Senate and House Dems, is only as good as Obama volunteers care to make it, if they can keep themselves from falling into persuasion -- and arguing with voters who've not drunk the koolaid.

The money saved is already pre-spent for paid media, for an ad impression density in the media markets on voters that no one, not Obama, not a surrogate, not a down-ticket candidate, not a field operative, not a local party activist, not even a ever-ready-to-share-the-spell Obama volunteer, has correctly ID and executed persuasion, has bothered to meet and greet.

The PPP writers had the humor to write:

The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and
middle aged ...

So if Senator McCain picks Governor Ridge, who is a reasonably competent executive (overlooking the colored chart nonsense, not everyone is gifted at signage), its a three-fur.

And π is not an integer.

Six hours with nothing but their sidearms

The operation conducted by the opfors 60km east of Kabul targeted a the French unit deployed as the advance guard of a convoy consisting of Afghan troops and US Special Forces that were in route to an area abandoned to the opfors between Kabul and Kapisa. The survivors interviews are inconsistent with command's narrative -- the later has all the KIAs in the initial phase of the ambush, the former has members of the unit, dismounted and 50 meters from the pass they were approaching to recon, pinned down by highly effective small arms fire for six hours until darkness allowed them to self-extricate. There was no air support until three hours after the opfors initiated the operation, no support from the Afghan or US forces in the convoy, and no rotary wing mounted rapid response resources available to the convoy. The wounded were recovered around 2am, and the opfor casualties are reported to be much lower than the IASF casualties.

I recommend (again) the works of Eric Margolis, who write for the Toronto Sun.

August 19, 2008

Caretaker President Mohammadmian Soomro

h_9_ill_1085555_musharraf.jpgGeneral (ret.) Musharraf left President House while Senate Chairman Mohammadmian Soomro was sworn in as caretaker president.

The oath of office as caretaker President was taken by Chief Justice Abdul Hameed Dogar. An election is expected in the next few weeks.

The photo is from 18 August, taken as the ex-dictator was removed from the President House.

Larry Lessig on the McCain Technology Plan

I wish Larry had talked about the period prior to the commercial interchange agreement, when public money pushed the then-UUCP and FidoNet envelope, but he does pretty good starting from the end of that epoch, the late Clinton years, to the present.

Via CircleID.

We do talk about this on the operators lists. In Japan a real 100m/100m is about USD30/mo. In the States
USD90/mo gets 256k/768k. As far as the internet is concerned, the United States is a third world country, and that's before you take a step outside the CATV loops of TimeWarner and Comcast, or beyond the 5,000 foot radius from a local exchange carrier's central office. The Bush years have been years of profit taking, not innovation or investment.

Something's Moving @ SnagFilms

Richard Matson of SnagFilms wrote us yesterday to offer us this. I watched half of it before Jonah repurposed my laptop back to its highest and best use -- watching and re-watching Arthur on YouTube and paging through the (now around 700) photos he's taken of his surroundings. The vision of the Autistic Indian Boy as an Artist. Richard's film is good and I'm looking forward to more. Its boarding schools and Lakotas.


Hello,

I'm getting in touch because of your excellent writings on American Indian issues. I work for a company called SnagFilms that allows audiences to download award-winning documentaries for free, help support filmmakers and donate to topical charities. With a couple of clicks and only a few of your pixels, the SnagFilms widget turns any website into a free online theater, with real films, not a bunch of trailers. Our documentary library already has hundreds of titles like SOMETHING'S MOVING, about survivors of a U.S. boarding school for the Lakota who are breaking the chain of trauma in order to heal their spirits, their community and the country. We would like to share this movie with you and your audience!

By showcasing this growing library of films, you will support an independent filmmaker and vital causes, while also increasing the time spent on your site/blog by your readers, and adding another reason for new readers to visit.

The SnagFilms movie player does not require a desktop download, but instead efficiently streams the films. All expenses, including streaming costs, are covered by SnagFilms and there is no additional load on your servers. You need only provide the pixels and we take care of the rest.

We have some pretty audacious goals – we believe we can preserve and strengthen independent filmmaking; we think we can use the democracy of the web to build stronger communities; and we know we can enrich a great number of websites with what is normally the most costly content: professional, compelling films.

I hope you'll consider adding SOMETHING'S MOVING to your site. To add the widget, click on the Snag button under Snag This Film. Feel free to email me with any questions.

Best regards,
Richard


The "excellent writing" has to refer to someone else's work, but it is a nice touch. I'm going to pretend it was a pinch of tobacco or better, some white sage to honor the gray hairs in my red beard.

The Day After

Chief of Army Staff Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani was in Kabul today, apparently without prior notice to President Hamid Karzai or the Afghan Defense Ministry. The IASF command is in Kabul, so General Kayani could have been meeting with Gen. David McKiernan. Meetings in person and by phone were added on with Defense Minister Mohammad Zahir Azimi and President Hamid Karzai. Oddly, yesterday Karzai did a presser and announced he is running for re-election.

Someone else is due in today, President Nicolas Sarkozy, after 10 members of the 8e RPMIa were killed and another 21 were wounded in an ambush 60 kilometers east of Kabul over night. As the French unit was doing recon, it is possible that it took close to 100% casualties during the three hours of fighting and had combat air support failed, would not have been able to self-extract or prevent capture, beyond the four reported captured and subsequently killed, either by hostile or friendly fire.

The Daily Times has a paragraph from two dozen political leaders on the resignation. Some want him tried under Article 6 of the Constitution and Article 58-2 (b) abolished. Some just want to Move On.

The coalition leaders are discussing replacing General (ret.) Musharaff.

  • Baloch leader Attaullah Mengal,
  • former chief justice (r) Saeeduz Zaman Siddiqi,
  • Justice (r) Wajeehuddin Ahmed,
  • Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) leader Faryal Talpur,
  • Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) leader Ghous Ali Shah,
  • Awami National Party (ANP) President Asfandyar Wali,
  • former Defence minister Aftab Shaaban Mirani and
  • Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam chief Fazlur Rehman
. General (ret.) Jahangir Karamat is described as a dark horse candidate

Not on the list is Tehreek-e-Insaaf Chairman Imran Khan, which is sort of odd since his signature issue was the sacking of Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry and the political independence of the judiciary.
Gallup fielded a poll overnight and 85 per cent of the respondents want Iftikhar Chaudhry and other judges to be reinstated immediately.

The 10-member National Command and Control Authority which controls Pakistan's nuclear arsenal is not (yet) making the news.

Musharraf will leave for Saudi Arabia with his family for Umra, then go to either London or the US.

Musharraf resigned following an agreement with the ruling coalition that it would provide him security and would not try him after declaring any of his actions as unconstitutional. The US, the UK, Saudi Arabia and General Ashfaq Kayani are guarantors to the agreement.

August 18, 2008

WJBQ Airheads and Senator Susan Collins

Streaming Video by Ustream.TV

WJBQ is part of the dial I sweep past without noticing, up at 97.7. I use the lower octives, WMPG at 90.9 and WMEA at 90.1. The format is CHR/pop, which I can live without, and has nothing to compare with MPG's Chickens are People Too! for children's radio. I wasn't any closer to the CHR/pop wasteland when we lived in Belfast, it was WERU at 89.9 after the last musicologist staffed human operated classical station in Rockland shutdown.

Ignoring the mediocrity of the talent employed as local color by this Citadel Broadcasting property, they do well enough as happy talkers but as Republican media operatives are down-market from Jeff Gannon. They needed to do soft pitches and give Susan space and air to swing for the bleachers, but crowded her out with kwel kid me too noises.

Senator Collins forgot Dirego when the pitch was Senator Obama's health insurance plan and went straight to tax credits. She had more to say about Senator Edwards. About his private life. It is pretty underwhelming.

Just a bunch of determined lawyers and judges ...

I credit Shaheen Sehbai, who wrote the South Asia Tribune from WDC, and the actually free (not fictionally free) press in Pakistan, chiefly Dawn, for making today possible.

Coverage in Dawn:

President Pervez Musharraf resigns ISLAMABAD, Aug 18: General (Retd) Pervez Musharraf announced his resignation from the office of President of Pakistan on Monday, August 18. He said he was sending his resignation to the Speaker of the National Assembly. He asked his well-wishers to accept his decision in the interests of Pakistan. He said his decision was on the slogan of Pakistan first and he wanted the country to prosper. (Updated @ 14:32 PST)

Next are the lawyers and judges who kept Pakistan a nation of law, and who were obviously beaten, and less visibly, imprisoned or confined to their residences. The first thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers and The Second Coup of Pervez Musharraf.

_12_pakistan_AP.jpg

Dawn's coverage continues:
Pakistan's Musharraf announces resignation ISLAMABAD, Aug 18 (AFP) -Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf announced his resignation on Monday in the face of looming impeachment charges, ending a turbulent nine years in power. “After viewing the situation and consulting legal advisers and political allies, with their advice I have decided to resign,” a grim-faced Musharraf, wearing a sober suit and tie, said in a televised address to the nation. “I leave my future in the hands of the people.” Musharraf said he would hand his resignation to the speaker of the national assembly (lower house of parliament) later on Monday. He made the shock announcement after denying that any of the impeachment charges against him could stand and launching into a lengthy defence of his time in power.“Not a single charge in the impeachment can stand against me,” Musharraf said. “No charge can be proved against me because I never did anything for myself, it was all for Pakistan.” He said that there was now law and order in the country, that human rights and democracy had been improved and that Pakistan was now an crucial country internationally. “On the map of the world, Pakistan is now an important country, by the grace of Allah,” he said. Musharraf's popularity slumped last year amid his attempts to oust the country's chief justice and then during a wave of Taliban suicide bombings that killed more than 1,000 people, including former premier Benazir Bhutto. He imposed a state of emergency in November last year to force his re-election to another five-year term through the Supreme Court, but his political allies were trounced at the February polls.The coalition of parties which won the February election, led by Benazir Bhutto's Pakistan People's Party, finally overcame months of divisions and agreed to impeach Musharraf on August 7. It piled on the pressure with no-confidence votes in Pakistan's four provincial assemblies last week. Then on Sunday it said it had drawn up impeachment charges and would lodge them in parliament this week. The charges reportedly included violation of the constitution and gross misconduct. Officials say that Musharraf's aides have been in talks with the coalition, brokered by Saudi Arabia, the United States and Britain, to allow him to quit in return for indemnity. Musharraf's spokesman had repeatedly denied in recent days that he was about to quit, and it was not immediately clear what would happen next. But a lack of apparent support from Pakistan's army, which he left in November, apparently made other options -- including dissolving parliament or even declaring another state of emergency -- impossible. Speculation over Musharraf's fate intensified overnight when US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said that granting asylum to Musharraf was not currently under consideration by the United States. “That's not an issue on the table, and I just want to keep our focus on what we must do with the democratic government of Pakistan,” Rice said. Western allies want Pakistan to resolve the crisis over Musharraf so it can deal with the fight against Taliban and Al-Qaeda militants in the tribal areas bordering Afghanistan, where nearly 500 people have died in the past week.The government is also struggling to deal with a severe economic crunch. (Posted @ 14:56 PST)

And finally there are the electoral political parties, those which boycotted the election held during the "State of Emergency", the Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan, Jamiat Ulema-e-Pakistan, Tehrik-e-Jafaria Pakistan and Jamiat Ahle Hadith, and those which did, the PPP, the PML-Q, the Awami, etc.

pakistan.gif

The entirety of Dawn's coverage of the resignation is highly recommended.

See also: Musharraf goes down as fourth military ruler of Pakistan at the Hindi, and Musharraf resigns as Pakistan President is the banner story at the The Times of India. The Daily Times (Lahore) hasn't published the resignation news, but its another source to read. I haven't looked, but will later, at Juan Cole et Cie's coverage at their blogs.

On July 20, 2007, I wrote "Coup or exile?". I've been writing "Is Pakistan?" since the Hizb ut Tahrir put me on their mailing list in March 2004 with "Musharraf is transforming Pak Army into Colonial American Army". They didn't get the replacement of Americans-by-proxy (Generals) by clerics, rather it was clerks, law clerks.

August 17, 2008

Jonah and the iPod and the iPhone

When we got an iPod our collective aural mode changed from Jonah, and Sam, and Grace and Kezzie taking turns picking which CD to pull from the visor and play while traveling up and down the Salinas Valley, to Jonah using an iPod with MB's choices. The kids music remains in the visors, with no overlap with the iPod repertoire. With the iPod Jonah is able to click-click-click-click-click click-click-click-click-click click-click-click-click-click click-click-click-click-click. At first this was good for getting the lyrics but he's beyond that to some wonderful place where sound just whips past, a few beats to his measure. I need to jack-in, to get a better understanding of what he's creating from the sequencing possible with the iPod.
IMG_0634.JPG
But its the iPhone that's really revolutionary. Yes, its an iPod, synched to the (actual) iPod, so sound is there, modulo we go through ear-pieces and cables faster than some, as these are chewables. But Jonah takes pictures. I'm amazed by what I see going through Jonah's pictures.

Pervez Musharraf

Some idiot on Faux asked Condi Rice if Pervez Musharraf could get asylum in the US. Its a pretty dumb question, since it wouldn't make the PPP+PML-N very happy, and it means the Faux Volk haven't really figured out what to do with regime change applied to one of their properties.

It really got picked up in the Pakistani and Indian media though. You'd almost think someone was signaling something.

The McCain Campaign Tech Policy

The McCain Campaign's policy people have put their stake in the ground. Here's how they frame the issues in the first pararaph:

John McCain has a broad and cohesive vision for the future of American innovation. His policies will provide broad pools of capital, low taxes and incentives for research in America, a commitment to a skilled and educated workforce, and a dedication to opening markets around the globe. He’s committed to streamlining burdensome regulations and effectively protecting American intellectual property in the United States and around the globe.

The full text is here.

I look at this as the ideas of Mike Powell and Meg Whitman, and a lot of unimportant wordsmithing, and recently I wrote something similar for a down-ticket candidate. You, or One, or I (isn't voice fun) tries for ideas that matter, and then try to connect the dots, for the staff of a candidate who needs clue, e.g., to make effective calls to the Dem major contributor lists for area codes 415, 408, 650 and 831. The ideas in Mike Powell's and Meg Whitman's tech policy piece are surprising ... in their absence.

Western Union Telegraph Company v. The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 128 U.S. 39[3] containes an idea that matters -- that states may not tax interstate telegraph messages. Of course, credit for that idea goes to Chief Justice Melville Fuller, who wrote the decision in 1888, and "policy" is a cognate for "tax".

It is an interesting piece of writing, and it may achieve the probable political goal of making technology a non-issue in the campaign.

Note well that Obama's tech plan (like McCain's) is silent on warrantless spying. A vote for either is a vote for that.

Other reviewers: Susan Crawford at circleID, Kevin Werbach, also at circleID, David Isenberg, also at circleID, and Harold Feld at wetmachine, Matt Stoller at OpenLeft, which I include just to show that a lack of seriousness in an otherwise smart guy isn't good politics or good policy.

See also Kevin Werbach's post and Michael Powell's reply to Kevin Werbach.

Update: A revised version of this is up at CircleID.

The Omaha-Council Bluffs metropolitan area

In the flood of 1877 the Missouri River changed course and cut an oxbow. In the early 19th century American jurisdiction followed water, but when the states jurisdictional dispute reached the Fuller Court in 1893 the river of law had cut off that oxbow too.

In January this year the Attorney General for the state of Nebraska, Jon Bruning, filed suit in U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Iowa, challenging the decision of the National Indian Gaming Commission (NIGC) that the Ponca Tribe's 4.8 acres of trust lands within the oxbow qualify for Indian Gaming.

The basis for Jon Bruning's challenge to the NIGC's ruling is transit through Nebraska. In effect, he's arguing for overturning the 1893 decision.

The Ponca Tribe was terminated in 1966, and restored to federal recognition by the Ponca Restoration Act, 25 U.S.C § 983 -- 983h. In 1999 the Tribe acquired 4.8 acres of land within the oxbow and in 2000 applied to Interior to have the land taken into trust.

The NIGC order of December 31, 2007 is here (18pp .pdf).

August 16, 2008

Georgia Peace Accord Text

20080813_GEORGIA_ACCORD.preview.jpg

The Counts

Georgian casualty figures. Killed: 115 military, 67 civilians. Wounded: 322 military, 157 civilians.

Russian announced casualty figures. Killed: 1,600 civilians. No figures yet for civilian wounded or military killed and wounded.

h_4_ill_1084632_gori.jpg
Does anyone really care if Russian units not firing on urban areas have replaced Georgian units previously firing on urban areas, the finale of a meaningless skirmish the night of August 1st, between a mortar platoon of the Georgian defense ministry and a rifle platoon of South Ossetian security forces, that resulted in 3 initial combat deaths?

It is an odd thing to hang the future of US-SU, USA-USSR, NATO-WARSAW PACT, Trans-Atlantic and European alliances-Russian relations.

It does have the odd effect of making Wes Clark look more useful than not, on Day 81.

Citizen Farmer, or Expat Retiree, General (Ret.) Musharaff

While Condi Rice is in Georgia, Muqrin bin Abdul Aziz is in Islamabad, doing something slightly more important. Costing out the extraction of Musharaff.

August 12, 2008

The "War" that was just "Me Too!"

I've posted this at circle.wabanaki.net.

The $7 Billion Offer That Never Was

Bill McAllister, who's the spokesperson for the Cobell Litigation Team just sent us this:

A number of news accounts – particularly The Associated Press - are incorrectly saying that the plaintiffs have rejected a $7 billion offer from the government to settle the Indian Trust lawsuit. That simply isn't true.

Here are the facts:

The government has never offered to settle the Cobell vs. Kempthorne lawsuit at any price. Every proposal made by plaintiffs and by mediators to settle the case has been rejected by the government.

The Bush administration in March 2007 suggested it was willing to spend $7 billion over 10 years to resolve a wide range of major Indian issues, including land fractional land claims, the Cobell suit, all individual land mismanagement claims, the 100 plus trust lawsuits filed by tribes and pay for all of trust reform as well.

Oh yes, and it also included provisions to deny Indians any right to bring any future lawsuits for future mismanagement no matter how egregious. That final provision was essentially a license to steal. This proposal was universally condemned by everyone not associated with the government, including a wide range of Native leaders.

It never went beyond conceptual testimony to the Senate Indian Affairs Committee. And it contained no specific amount to settle the Cobell litigation.

In testimony before the committee Ms. Cobell said the figure was insufficient to settle her case alone. "This is not an offer -- instead, it is a slap in the face for every individual [with] trust fund litigation," she said. She did note that a mediator had suggested recoveries could run between $7 billion to $9 billion in the case. She said she "would want to talk about that more." Hardly a rejection.

But the Bush administration never followed up on her overture. In fact, federal officials have never made any offer to the Cobell legal team to settle the class action lawsuit for any specific amount.

In 2006, the Senate Indian Affairs Committee did introduce legislation to settle the lawsuit without a specific dollar amount. The Committee later amended that bill to include an $8 billion figure but the bill never moved out of the Senate Indian Affairs Committee because of objections raised by the government.

Lawyers for the Justice Department and the Interior Department have made clear throughout the Cobell litigation that the government's firm position is that the Individual Indian Money (IIM) Trust is not a real trust and that Indians are owed nothing no matter how much money and other assets are missing or have been looted from the Trust.

The position of the Cobell plaintiffs has long been that we will consider reasonable offers from the United States to resolve this case. Unfortunately, none has been put forth.

Bill McAllister
Cobell Litigation Team Spokesman

August 11, 2008

Bruce Duthu's NYT OpEd on Oliphant

Professor N. Bruce Duthu's NYT OpEd is entitled "Broken Justice in Indian Country". It is interesting that the NYT published a piece on the Oliphant v. Suquamish Indian Tribe, 435 U.S. 191 (1978) line of cases, without mentioning them by name -- Duro v. Reina, 495 U.S. 676 (1990) and United States v. Lara, 541 U.S. 193 (2004). I look forward to seeing a similar piece on Cobell v Kempthorne, but sooner then 30 years from now. This week would be good. Timely. Newsworthy. Etc.

It must be difficult writing for the NYT. To write for the journal of record, the daily work of the gente de razón, publisher of the writings of Judy Miller and a host of others, and read by their unsurprised readers.

Professor Duthu focus is on rape, and that's fine, assuming the problem is simply, as he frames it, a policy and funding want that any sensible person can see and prescribe sensible solutions for.

But Rehnquist discarded functioning courts and prior law, the specifics, to write a general, and cut out the Indians aren't Christian bits of Ex parte KAN-GI-SHUN-CA (Crow Dog), while promoting that finding from 1883 to 1978. There is a lot more to just Rehnquist's Oliphant than promoting rape tourism. And why stop there? Marshall's trilogy, where "domestic dependent nation" comes from, discarded three centuries of land title history to smooth the way for Federal Period expansion. These both pass for mainstream legal doctrine in US legal culture.

Professor Duthu doesn't ask a question that should keep Americans up at night. How is it in the interests of the United States for the Attorney General to argue against the maturation of the civil and criminal justice systems of any jurisdiction? Why did the states of South Dakota, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, and Wyoming file briefs of amici curiae for reversal of the 9th Cirucit ruling, and inevitably for rape tourism?

Howard Dean had an answer. No jurisdictions in Vermont but Vermont. Unlike some states, there is little Federal military presence in Vermont. No Fort Sumter to bombard into submission. No Abenaki jurisdiction ment no standing to challenge Vermont's historic and not so historic indefensible acts. Even in Howard's time as state executive, Abenakis were statistically distinct from all other socially, culturally, and politically identified individuals in Vermont, having significantly greater representation in state criminal custody. No Abenaki jurisdiction also ment no Indian Gaming to co-exist with the state lottery.

August 10, 2008

Evo Morales wins his gamble

Ipsos Apoyo reports that Morales won 56.7% of the vote, with 50% of the vote counted.

Update: 63.1%, with late reporting rural votes, overwhelmingly pro-Morales, still outstanding.

Agence France-Press has coverage here, and La Razón (Bolivia) has local coverage here.

Ratificados:
Evo Morales Ayma y Álvaro García Linera, 63,1%

Mario Virreira, Potosí, 75,9%

Rubén Costas, Santa Cruz, 66,6%

Mario Cossío, Tarija, 64,5%

Ernesto Suárez, Beni, 61,2%

Leopoldo Fernández, Pando, 56,3%

Revocados:
Alberto Aguilar, Oruro, 45,6%

José Luis Paredes, La Paz, 42,3%

Manfred Reyes Villa, Cochabamba, 39,3%

Sport in the Service of Nation

Not surprisingly, Mr. Bush went to Kuanjie protestant church. He didn't quite manage to stay a full hour for services, and had something to say before going to meeting with Mr. Hu.

"You know, it just goes to show that god is universal, and god is love, and no state, man or woman should fear the influence of loving religion."
I'm amusing myself by reading about our First Believer in the Hindustan Times.

Another point of view is available at China Aid Association, which was set up in 2002, back when the Rehnquist Administration was going to go to war against China, before being side-tracked into Iraq.

Beijing Church (China Aid reporter. Luke Zhang August 9.) Ingenious arrangements are being made at TSPM’s Kuanjie Church established by the government to welcome the visit of US President Bush on August 10.
High-ranking officials from the Public Security Bureau, Bureau of Security, Bureau of Religion and TSPM/China Christian Council met at Kuanjie Church established by the government and there, they made ingenious arrangements for the visit of US President Bush on August 10. They won’t give the ordinary believers of the church a chance to meet President Bush or overseas media. They will also drive the ordinary believers out of the church before and after President Bush’s visit. Informed sources have disclosed that a red slip of procedure for the worship ceremony is a mark for their identification. The red slips have been distributed before noon today. Most people President Bush and the overseas media will meet in the church are security people, political workers and people trained by them to pose as believers. An old believer who was baptized at Kuanjie Church nearly 20 years ago complained: “Whether you are a believer or not, no one is allowed to enter the church. When President Bush comes tomorrow, where can we do our Sunday service?” Another believer who lives nearby Kuanjie Church joked: “President Bush is coming to preach the Gospel to those who don’t believe in the Lord (referring to those police officers and officials). We are already believers, so we certainly don’t have to come here tomorrow.” (End)

I read that as George either is, or can't tell the difference between, stage props and real things.

A note from Comrad Djugashvili

Its really the second Ossetian War, the first having happened in 1991.

So what can the US do, can NATO do, can the EU do? Tell Mikhail Saakashvili to surrender? If not, exactly what is the EU, or NATO, or the US, prepared to attempt to do, and how? Didn't Kosovo establish precedent? Doesn't Russia have the right, and duty, to protect Russians in South Ossetia?

Prior post: link.

August 09, 2008

A trinket from NPR

For the fourth time in two years, NPR ran a Cobell story. All 2 minutes and 58 seconds of it are here.

I don't know why they even bothered to run the story at all. Just how much could people not following the issues get from 3 minutes, between setup, color, and finish?


August 08, 2008

At the Pawn Shop

I watched Ted Strickland, Jon Husted, Bill Harris, all elected officials, and Bill Faith, executive director of the Ohio Coalition on Homelessness and Housing, doing a press conference today downtown. Faith led the effort to pass HB 545, which takes effect Sept. 1, and limits borrowers to four short-term loans a year and caps annual interest rates at 28 percent -- down from the 391% allowed under law that expires at the end of August.

I didn't have to use payday loans when I was in the service, but I was without dependents, and drew a higher rate of pay than many with the same time in grade. I've had to use pawn shops to cover non-discretionary expenses -- food for the kids at one point.

The industry media buy kicked off this evening. Some crusty guy wants to put his big pickup in hock every time he needs to buy between paychecks -- a reasonable use case -- for which, if the industry is to be believed, only loan products at a 391% interest are going to meet his needs.

I just laugh, if the guy was a farmer and he was putting his rig in hock to buy seed or fertilizer, or fuel for his tractor, several times more than four a year, even at 28%, he'd slide down the owner to share-cropper curve and be working for hourly without all those expenses. Not the model of New England frugality.

The press release that dropped in my inbox mid-morning shouldn't have had the words "usury" or "bible", and especially not in the same half-sentence.

Catharsis and Paralysis


I've been in the capital of a battleground state now for four weeks, and four weeks ago, at T-120, the RW was that this state, and this state capitol, were the first roll-outs of the Obama Campaign Field Organization. The State and Capital Field Office was then RSN. The day count is now sub-90 and the Obama State and Capital Field Office is still RSN.

Is anyone else seeing a serious failure to execute? My question is serious. If we can't execute on the states that are competitive with this presumptive nominee (PA/OH/MI/CO) than executing around the states that are competitive with the other presumptive nominee (MI/FL) looks less likely to fail.

Its not about the Candidate(s), its about the Campaign(s), and while throwing away one month in four may not be fatal, I don't know, today, that the week-count won't increment past 4, to 5 or 6 or 7 ... and there's many fewer than 12 left for a Field Organization to be rolled out and affect outcomes on week 12.

PD stuff

If your candidate has an AIPAC event calendered than taking 10 minutes out of your life to read this would not be the worst way to get background and context. Hollow Time.

Georgia and Russia at the edge of war

August 07, 2008

Boy vs Cows


A penny on the dollar

Civil Action No. 1996-1285, COBELL, et al v. KEMPTHORNE, et al, Doc No. 3573 (memorandum) by Judge James Robertson was published today. He went for the government's number.

The text is here. 72 pages of pdf.

Elouise Cobell had this to say: "I have asked our lawyers to carefully review this opinion as we consider whether to appeal the ruling.

I know I speak for everyone in Indian Country when I say that it is difficult to reconcile the Court's ruling with beneficiaries' experiences with the Individual Indian Money (IIM) trust. I am disappointed, to say the least.

We believe we presented a strong, compelling case that individual Indian trust beneficiaries are entitled to much more than the government's admitted mismanagement of our trust monies over the past 120 years."

That works out to about a 25.9cu refrigerator (at Sears) per Indian, after 100 plus years of theft and 11 years of first class litigation.

Coalition decides to impeach Musharraf

They've sorted it out.

ISLAMABAD, Aug 7: The Co-chairperson of Pakistan Peoples Party Mr Asif Zardari said the ruling coalition had decided to start proceeding to impeach President Musharraf, a local tv channel reported. Mr Zardari was addressing a press conference in Zardari House in Islamabad. The PMl-N chief Mr Nawaz Sharif was sitting alongside Mr Zardari when he made the announcement. Mr Zardai said General Musharraf’s policies had weakened the federation of Pakistan and brought the economy to an impasse. Mr Zardari said the coalition believes it has become imperative to remove General Musharraf as President and will initiate proceedings under Article 47 of the constitution. AFP adds: The landmark agreement came after three days of marathon talks between coalition leaders Asif Ali Zardari and Nawaz Sharif. “We have good news for democracy,” Zardari said at a joint news conference with Sharif in Islamabad. “The coalition believes it is imperative to move for impeachment against General Musharraf.” The government had summoned the National Asembly to sit on August 11 and could begin the impeachment proceedings then, a senior coalition official said. (First Posted @ 18:54 PST Updated @ 19:32 PST)

I like how they refer to the person by the only lawful title available -- General. Most of American public figures refer to the current regime without noticing that the Rehnquist Court appointed the current executive.

source: http://www.dawn.com/2008/08/07/welcome.htm

Fencing in Karachi

Mushy was going to Beijing, then canceled because of the the PPP-PML-N meeting. Being smarter and more flexible than our King, and in country where lawyers actually turn and face police rather than run, and judges actually refuse to take loyalty oaths that violate the Constitution, and take each take the obvious consequences, beatings, firings, etc., a country with more of the internal life of what is called "Democracy", Mushy re-appointed the famous eight hold-out judges to the Sindh High Court.

Taking the Oath means approving the November 3rd Emergency Order, unless the 1973 text is used, and even then, its complicated, and divides the judiciary.

So now Mushy is free to go Beijing, Pakistan's other senior partner, leaving the PPP + PML-N to sort out the wreckage of their plan.

The thing about the judges in Sindh is that in Sindh the pro-Mushy PML-Q is in the majority coalition formed by the PPP and the PML-N, so a move to impeach would also put the provincial government in a crisis.

If the "leader of the Progressive Dems" and the "leader of the Blue Dogs" met to schedule an impeachment vote, and got confused because King George threw Gonzales under the Judicary bus, then we'd have a domestic version. But we don't.

August 06, 2008

PPP-PML-N meet, plan Musharraf's impeachment

The winners at the ballot box, the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and Pakistan Muslim League-N (PML-N) agreed yesterday to formally ask Pervez Musharraf to step down and to impeach him through parliamentary measures if he did not oblige. Asif Zardari and Nawaz Sharif and their teams met for six hours Tuesday to work out their differences over the status of the Chief Justice, the Judiciary, and the personal status of Pervez Musharraf. Directly after the meeting of the PPP and the PML-N, senior members of each team briefed the leaders of the Awami National Party’s (ANP) and the Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam-F, Asfandyar Wali Khan and Maulana Fazlur Rehman, respectively.

The meeting will re-convene this evening.

August 05, 2008

The sound of decay

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Its been a good month for the nuclear nutmen, French division. On July 3rd Nicolas Sarkozy announced that his government would construct a PWR in Flamanville,

On July 7th 75 kilos of uranium went missing at Tricastin (Drôme), that's 30,000 litres of solution leaking out of a tank and then into the ground and into the Gaffiere and Lauzon rivers which flow into the Rhône.

On July 18th 15 here was another uranium leak at Romans-sur-Isère.

On July 24th, again at Tricastin, 100 workers were contaminated by exposeure to dust containing radioactive Cobalt 58 during "normal refueling" of Tricastin 4.

A fourth accident occurred at the plant at Saint Alban, in the same region, 115 km north of Tricastin. Fifteen workers were exposed to radioactive dust.

And today Senator McCain announced that his government will build 45 nuclear reactors. I'm so happy I'm simply glowing. I'm feeling bullish on nuclear power! Senator Obama will no doubt announce 46 or 44, and that will make all the difference in the world.

Passing Poston screens in New York

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In comments to something I wrote a few days ago, Alfred reminded me that this film is having a screening in New York. Poston was built on CRIT land, and MB and the kids and I visited the area 18 months ago (Jonah was after me to return to the Colorado River for months. As soon as we pointed the truck's hood east and got into the Nevada desert it was "Colorado River, I want to go to the Colorado River, OK?"

August 03, 2008

Fast Flux Justifies ...

Someone wants to modify registrar and registry contracts to require 24/7 staffing. The supporting claim for this is that the incremental cost of round-the-clock staffing to correctly handle domain take-down demands from just about everywhere and just about anybody in just about any language without liability to the registrar or registry operator is zero.

Yes. According to the ICANN "Business Constituency", the incremental cost in going round-the-clock with complex problem capable staff is zero. Clearly we are paying way too much for swing and night shifts.

Someone else wants registrars to cease serving registrants using "consumer grade" addresses. If you're not using a FOO-approved colo-provider in a BAR-approved address block, you can kiss that web site goodbye.

Yes. According to the ICANN "Security and Stability Committee", it is in everyone's best interests if devices attached to "consumer-grade networks" don't actually work, except as sinks for trusted flows of data. The sources of trusted data won't be *nix boxes on subscriber loops, because (I kid you not) the majority of boxes on subscriber loops run an inherently insecure operating system product (correct), and the best available means of discriminating between criminally repurposed network-attached computers and non-repurposed network-attached computers to ban subscriber networks is not to discriminate between criminally repurposed and not repurposed devices, but to ban them all (incorrect).

Note well: The "security and stability" part of the internet under ICANN's purview that is directly affected by "fast flux" is ... zero. But that doesn't dampen anyone's enthusiasm.

Someone else (that's a logical "else", it could in fact be the same lobbyists) wants domain registrations to provide complete and accurate identification for all registrants of domain names, which would then be available to anyone, in particular, the robots who scrape registrar WHOIS data.

Another policy gem from the best minds of the ICANN "Security and Stability Committee". Never mind that we've had the what-to-do-about-WHOIS problem for seven years or so. Definitely a locusts-and-plague thing.

Then there's the gem of a proposal, which you'd think could only come from someone who thinks ICANN is government, rather than someone so "inside" s/he's a member of the GNSO Council. ICANN should have a policy solution for criminal use of the DNS. All criminal use?

The upside is that "terrorism" is no longer on the Manditory To Recite list, which I think is the only proof available that time has passed in the movable circus that orbits Admiralty Way in Marina del Rey.

I'll have to look at the budget and move that we registrars zero out the SSAC part of the budget, or divide it up between the Constituencies so we can hire "experts" not brain-dead ab initio. At the moment the SSAC is behaving like Mamluks running riot in Egypt. Dog alone knows what the "Businesses" are who's interests are advanced by ICANN's Business Constituency within the GNSO.

August 01, 2008

Police up after that residential drop

I was amazed to find myself today in an policy discussion (ICANN context) where the "enforcement" interests actually want to ISPs to filter (drop) HTTP requests into "residential" addresses. These same "enforcement" interests would also like ICANN accredited registrars and registries to filter (drop) domain name management requests (usually via webform or email or fax or phone) that would associate a domain name with an address in an ISP's ""residential" address" blocks.

The rational is the same as the usual DoJ cant, minus the pseudo-terrorism -- child porn, phish, and the rock star of the moment -- "fast flux".

It is wicked odd the "security profession" is fixated on shutting down web servers on residential loops, I keep expecting my mom to sweep in and say "It is not, I repeat NOT the policy of the Department of Defense, the National Science Foundation, or those nincompoops over at Commerce, to build out a resilient multi-carrier settlement-free packet network simply to shut down residential mimeographs."

Tears, Idle Tears

onion.jpgIn 1980 a big hike in the price on onions caused the Janata party to lose power.

In 1998 the BJP lost power after the price of onions went up by a factor of 6.

In June this year the price of onions doubled.

Which goes unnoticed while the Nuclear Suppliers Group and the IAEA deal making fills the print media.

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