« By the numbers, so far | Main | We're off for the day... »

By the process, so far

The absentee ballots moved Smith's margin from 400 to nearly 2,000 -- out of recount range.

Leeds and Vann carried Districts 1 and 2, and the in-person Absentee ballots.

Smith and Grayson carried Districts 3, 4, 7, 8, and 9. The votes were close in Districts 3 and 6.

District 5 is close enough to recount.

Districts 4, 7 and 8 have results that are significantly at variance with all the other Districts, though they are consistent with the Absentee (not in-person) ballots, with a 2 to 1 advantage for Smith.

In Districts 1, 2 and 4, Grayson significantly outpolled Smith.

There appears to be a ballot design problem, in the Grayson and Vann portion of the ballot, but its effect is not consistent in all Districts. In particular, in three out of the four ballot sets where Smith obtained landslide margins (Districts 7, 8 and the Absentee (not in-person)), the effect is absent, and the Smith and Grayson votes differ by only 2, 11, and 31 votes, resp.


Here's an interesting dilemma. According to the Cherokee election results site

In District/AbsenteePrincipal ChiefResolutionDifference
In District voters86728417255
Absentee voters509834841614

So what can account for the difference? Did absentee voters care so little about the resolution removing federal oversight? Did they get the second absentee ballots, the one with the resolution too late, or not at all? Was there some other explanation?

Comments

Speaking for myself, the second ballot definitely came too late. I recieved my ballot the Saturday before the election (the 16th) and it was Tuesday before I could get it notarized and mailed. I live in Oregon, and the USPS does not work that fast. I guess I could have paid for express delivery - after having paid $5 for a notary.

double_curve.gif

Have fun up in the mountains.

I suspect someone is going to challenge that Constitutional Amendment that Duane is referencing. It was put on the ballot after many people already had received their absentee ballots.

double_curve.gif

Post a comment

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://wampum.wabanaki.net/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/3443

we're using {mt v4.x || wp v2.x || drupal v6.x}, {mysql v 5.x || postgresql v8.x}, perl v5.8.8, php v5.2.5, python2.4.2 and apache v2.x, all running on freebsd-releng_7, on one of four ixsystems, housed in the usawebhost colo space in portland maine. everything is minded by ebw. all work by mb williams and eric brunner-williams are © wampum.