Wampum

In France the candidates for the '07 presidential have all taken positions on the question of nukes and Kyoto. The local context is the current (center-right) government's plan of record to chase the evolutionary "advanced" tail of the deuterium oxide D2O cooled and moderated pressurized heavy water reactor series (PHWR) and build a third-generation PWR -- the "European Pressurized Reactor" (EPR) -- at Flamanville (Manche).

• pro-nuke:
  1. Nicolas Sarkozy (UMP)
     
  2. Marie-George Buffet (PCF), with the caveat that the PCF is really in favor of the fourth-generation reactors, which is akin to betting on a big space umbrella to cool the earth,
     
  3. Philippe de Villiers (MPF), and
     
  4. Jean-Marie Le Pen (FN)
• anti-nuke:
  1. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Ségoléne Royal and Laurent Fabius (PS),
     
  2. Dominique Voynet (Verts), and
     
  3. Olivier Besancenot (LCR)

The liklihood of an anti-nuke pro-environment candidate making a competitive campaign in the Republican primaries is close to zero -- Pete McCloskey could decide that defeat by Pombo, even running against Pombo, is penny-ante and could try reform in the primaries -- at the neck as it were. Our question, our problem, is the liklihood of an anti-nuke pro-environment candidate making a competitive campaign in the Democratic primaries.

Is it also, effectively, close to zero?