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Iran 4 Dummies

First, Eric's Revised Guide to Garbage (original): If the writer uses "nuclear weapons program" to frame any piece on Iran, its the product of a neo-alchemist, who can transmute, or thinks Persian Magi can transmute, yellow dross into Likudnik gelt, for Passover.

Anyway, Primary targeting season in Persia.

I've written quite a few times on the domestic politics of Iran, the 24-part+ Return of the ... One True King series on the last two election cycles for the Majlis and the Presidentials, and the 6-part+ Return of the ... One True King (New Series) on the post-Presidential politics, and related in the 8-part+ Is Pakistan? series, and my other posts on the maritime balance of forces in the Indian Ocean / Gulf of Oman and the Port of Gwadar and access to energy and access to markets, traversing, as Borodin reminds us, the steppes of Central Asia, a piece originally written for jubilee of Tsar Alexander II.

Jeffrey Lewis from armscontrolwonk.com contributed three pieces series: Iran & the Bomb 1: How Close Is Iran?, Iran & the Bomb 2: Iran's Missiles, and Iran & The Bomb 3: Strike options.

We're fortunate that two of the three seats at the table are held by profoundly serious, intelligent persons. It would be a slight improvement if one of them was from North America, but there's little nationality left when general exchanges enter the planning repitoires, as we're all randomly distributed data points on the models for health consequences of nuclear war, and flags offer less protection than a bottle of Coppertone. It would be a significant improvement if all of the seats were held by profoundly serious, intelligent persons.

Comments

In the long run I don't see how we're going to stop Iran (or anyone else) from getting nukes unless we pursuade them they don't need nukes for their security. Attacking them (not to mention calling them "Axis of Evil" and invading 2 of their neighbors) is going to have the opposite effect. Killing 10s of thousands of Iranians (the absolute floor of civilian casualties, I'd think) will just make it personal.

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